Thursday, February 2, 2012

Can Chidambaram escape the 2G trial

image Today the Supreme court has pronounced a very important judgement in the 2G spectrum allocation case. It’s has given some sort for breathing time for Mr.Chidambaram. The supreme court in it’s order has cancelled 121 licenses issued to telecom companies under the UPA-1 regime. This is a big blow to the UPA and to Congress and DMK in particular. Now the question is will UPA yet again face another embarrassment, defending Mr.Raja back fired at them and now defending Mr.Chidambaram  may back fire at the UPA government. The supreme court has decided not decide on inclusion of Mr.Chidambaram in the 2G trial and left it to the CBI court to decide upon the matter. February 4th is the day on which CBI trial court is expected to deliver it’s judgement on Mr.Chidambaram inclusion in the 2G trial.

What are the possible scenario:

Scenario – I : Inclusion on Mr. P.Chidambaram: 

In this case the Mr.Chidambaram will be left with very few choice. He will for sure will appeal against the decision but there will be lot more chances of the appeal being dismissed rather than being allowed in the high court or in the supreme court.

Scenario – 2 : Non- Inclusion on Mr. P.Chidambaram: (Most likely scenario)

Well in this case there will be an appeal as against non inclusion of Mr.P.Chidambaram and the appeal will be most probably be allowed. The chances of succeeding the appeal is predicated based on today’s judgement on 2G case by supreme court. This scenario is the mostly likely because this would allow time to Mr.Chidambaram and lower court may try to put the ball in the superior courts to decide on this critical matter. It’s seems form today’s judgement that Mr.P.Chidambaram is most likely to face trial and likely to lose the Home Ministry.

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